Fueled by Fear

​Emotional investing is nothing new to the markets. In recent history, we have seen it work in our favor as promises of growth propelled our future. However, when investors are warned that momentary pain is on the horizon or are already experiencing it—a primal sense of survival takes over. How do we evaluate this and recognize when to preserve and when to pivot?

Evaluating where you are in your plan is the first step in assessing your next move. Just as you would not continue your strategy in chess after a counter-move without reading the board, it’s important to reassess your position. In some cases, that might mean stepping back to position yourself for a stronger defense. This pivot can involve sectors, bonds, or equities that you may not have previously considered. As you evaluate, you will need to establish a time horizon for performance and set expectations for pivoting again. This method will keep you vigilant and foster a sense of control.

Preserving your future contributions to avoid undue market volatility is not always the favored approach, but when all asset classes decline, cash can be the best place to hold until markets reach all-time lows. When evaluating an entry strategy from a preservation or cash position, the metrics differ from those used when dollar-cost averaging into the market. You will need to determine which positions have the most upward trajectory or resilience in similar conditions. This approach allows for faster growth, as accumulation occurs without needing to recover from market turmoil. However, it is important to note that past performance is not an indicator of future growth.

Those nearing retirement have likely already discussed with me how to structure a plan that allows for market corrections without affecting their income. For those with a longer time horizon, stockpiling and investing now may present an opportunity, as this could be the lowest market level seen for some time. If you know someone who is struggling to feel confident in their plan, refer them to me so they can experience the same peace of mind that comes from the strategies we set up earlier in the year.

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